Q&A

Is There a Checklist I Can Get to Help Me Plan Our Gifting


1. Start Planning Now
The best gifts take time. Decide by early November what you want to do and what structure fits best — cash, profit share, stock, or contribution. This gives your accounting and legal teams time to prepare documents and approvals before the holidays.

2. Clarify the Purpose
Ask yourself: What do I want this gift to say?
If it’s gratitude, make it personal.
If it’s long-term value, tie it to ownership, savings, or education.
Your message matters as much as the money.

3. Align the Right Teams
Loop in HR, finance, and legal early. Financial gifts tied to company performance or future ownership carry tax and compliance implications. A little planning prevents confusion later — especially for recurring programs like profit sharing or stock options.

4. Match the Gift to the Person
Not everyone needs or values the same thing.

  • Younger employees may appreciate help opening a Roth IRA or investment account.
  • Mid-career staff might value a bonus structured to grow over time.
  • Senior team members often respond best to profit pools or equity participation.
    Tailor it. Personal relevance multiplies impact.

5. Communicate the Vision
When you give, explain why. Tell your team this isn’t just a gift — it’s an investment in their future and a reflection of the company’s belief in long-term success. That message can inspire far beyond the dollar value.

6. Document and Deliver Thoughtfully
Put it in writing, even if it’s simple. Formality adds clarity and respect. Deliver the gift personally or through leadership, not just payroll. The presentation often means more than the package.

7. Measure the Impact
Revisit in six months. Did it motivate retention, engagement, or financial literacy? The best gifts are repeatable — refine what worked and make it part of your culture.


Final Thought:
True leadership means planning gratitude with the same precision you plan growth. When the year winds down and your people look back, they’ll remember who invested in them — not just who paid them.

Past Questions

Q: What kinds of businesses do Veterans tend to excel in?
A: Veterans perform well in fields that reward structure and leadership — logistics, construction, security, manufacturing, and government contracting. Many also thrive in franchise ownership and technology startups, where their process-driven approach helps create immediate stability.


Q: Why do investors like Veteran-led businesses?
A: Because execution wins. Veterans bring a bias for action, team discipline, and a results-oriented mindset. They’re not afraid of responsibility, and they know how to lead under pressure. That combination translates into consistent performance and lower early-stage chaos.


Q: What startup paths offer the best support for Veterans?
A: Franchises remain a popular option, thanks to existing systems and reduced startup risk — and many offer Veteran discounts. Service-based ventures, consulting firms, or contracting businesses also align well with military skill sets. Tech and logistics startups are increasingly popular as Veterans apply mission planning to market innovation.


Q: What are the best first steps for a Veteran entrepreneur?
A:

  1. Start with mentorship. Connect with organizations like Florida Angel’s, Bunker Labs, or a local VBOC.
  2. Develop a business plan. Translate your military experience into operational strategy.
  3. Explore funding programs. SBA-backed Veteran loans, microgrants, and nonprofit partnerships can help with early-stage capital.
  4. Network intentionally. Build relationships with investors, suppliers, and advisors who value your leadership.

Q: What’s the single most important thing Veterans should remember when starting a business?
A: Treat it like your next mission. Build your team, know your objective, and execute with discipline. The uniform may change — but the leadership remains the same.

Q: With all the noise, how do I know where the real opportunities are?
A: Follow the balance sheets, not the broadcasts. Look for companies investing in production, energy independence, and supply chain resilience. Those are the real growth engines.

Q: Should I hedge or hold through the shutdown chatter?
A: Hold steady. Shutdowns make headlines, not recessions. Historically, markets rebound fast once the cameras move on.

Q: Where’s the hidden momentum right now?
A: Mid-cap manufacturing, logistics, and domestic energy. These sectors are quietly expanding capacity while everyone’s staring at D.C.

Q: What’s the smartest move heading into year-end?
A: Tighten your positions, stay disciplined, and keep your money in motion. Momentum rewards the investors who don’t flinch when the noise is loudest.

Q: What’s the key to running a successful kiosk at a county fair?
A: Location, smile, and stamina. Get yourself near the funnel cakes, because that’s where people linger and loosen their wallets. Then stay upbeat, even when the 10th person “just wants to look.”

Q: How do I handle competition when three other booths are selling the same thing?
A: Be memorable. Whether that’s a small discount, a personal story, or a product demo that draws a crowd—people buy from who they remember, not necessarily who’s cheapest.

Q: What do you do when the weather—or the economy—turns bad?
A: Adapt fast. Move the display under cover, tighten your costs, or pivot to what’s selling. Flexibility wins the day. The fair—and the market—reward those who stay open when others pack up early.

Q: Any lesson from fair vendors that investors or business owners can take to heart?
A: Absolutely. Every kiosk owner knows: don’t chase the crowd—create one. Set up early, stay visible, and keep showing up, even when the traffic slows. That consistency is how the big money gets made, in business and beyond.

Q: If my LLC is just me, can I really pay myself?
A: Yes — but how you do it depends on your tax setup. If you’re a single-member LLC taxed as a sole proprietorship, your “pay” is technically an owner’s draw — not a salary. No payroll taxes, no W-2, just profit flowing through to you. Once you elect S-Corp taxation, that changes — you’ll pay yourself a salary (with payroll taxes), and any remaining profit can come as distributions, which aren’t hit with self-employment tax. That’s where the real tax savings start.


Q: Is it true that forming an LLC can make my taxes go down?
A: Not automatically. An LLC doesn’t reduce taxes by itself — it gives you the flexibility to structure income more efficiently. What lowers your taxes are the deductions, elections, and strategies you can use once you’re running income through it. Think of the LLC as the door; what you do inside determines the savings.


Q: Can I deduct my car, phone, and home office?
A: You can — if they’re used for business. The IRS loves documentation. Track mileage, keep receipts, and write down the business purpose. With an LLC, you can also set up an accountable plan, which allows the company to reimburse you for business use of personal assets — tax-free. That’s a pro-level move that keeps audits away.


Q: What’s this “reasonable salary” rule I keep hearing about?
A: When your LLC is taxed as an S-Corp, the IRS expects you to pay yourself a reasonable salary for the work you do — not $5,000 while pulling $100,000 in distributions. If it looks suspiciously low, they can reclassify your distributions as wages and hit you with back payroll taxes. A good CPA can benchmark a fair number based on your industry.


Q: Should I form my LLC in Delaware or Nevada like the big companies do?
A: Probably not. Unless you have investors or plan to operate nationally, your home state is almost always the best choice. Forming out of state can create double fees and registration headaches — one in the formation state, another in the state where you actually do business. The “Delaware trick” makes sense for venture-backed companies, not small businesses.


Q: What if I have multiple projects or income streams? One LLC or several?
A: It depends on your risk and simplicity tolerance. If one project could legally or financially threaten another, separate LLCs keep them from sinking each other. If they’re related (like different services under one brand), one LLC with separate accounting may be simpler.
Pro move: use a holding LLC that owns multiple single-member LLCs beneath it — clean, scalable, and organized for investors later.


Q: Can my LLC pay for things I’d normally buy personally?
A: It can — if those things are ordinary and necessary for running your business. The key phrase in tax law is “ordinary and necessary.” If it helps you earn income, promote the business, or maintain operations, it’s usually deductible. When in doubt, document it and ask your CPA to confirm. It’s often better to ask how to make something deductible rather than assume it isn’t.


Q: What’s the smartest first-year move most new LLC owners miss?
A: Setting up the right accounting and reimbursement systems from day one. Most people wait until tax time, and by then, half the deductions are gone because they didn’t track properly. A separate bank account, a bookkeeping app, and a mileage log will save you more money than any fancy trick.


Q: How much profit should I have before I make the S-Corp election?
A: Generally, when net profit hits $40,000–$50,000 per year, the S-Corp starts to make sense. That’s the tipping point where the self-employment tax savings outweigh the extra payroll and accounting costs. Below that, the simplicity of default LLC taxation usually wins.


Q: Can I form the LLC now and elect S-Corp later?
A: Absolutely — and that’s the smart way to do it. Start as a standard LLC, get your operations rolling, and once your income justifies it, file IRS Form 2553 to elect S-Corp status. That flexibility is one of the LLC’s biggest strengths.

Q: What’s the real takeaway from the election?
A: Even in blue states, the red margins are narrowing. That indicates frustration with policy direction — a slow, steady political rebalancing that markets see as stabilizing over time.

Q: Why did the Dow rise while the rest of the market fell?
A: The jobs data showed economic resilience. Investors rewarded companies that make and move things, not those waiting on cheap capital to fund future growth.

Q: How should investors in blue-state markets react?
A: Stay diversified and alert. Expect more talk of regulation and “equity mandates” from local policymakers. Secure your holdings in productive, asset-backed sectors.

Q: What’s the next inflection point to watch?
A: Inflation prints and the next Fed meeting. If inflation remains sticky, expect this value-over-growth trend to accelerate.

The period since 2020 has been marked by significant forecast errors for professional analysts, primarily due to the unique shocks of the pandemic, supply chain crises, and the subsequent surge in inflation. Studies, including those from the Federal Reserve system, show that the average forecast error for inflation during this period was substantially larger—sometimes three times larger—than in the pre-pandemic era. The sheer speed and magnitude of inflation following the massive increase in fiscal spending surprised the consensus.

It’s a nuanced picture. On one hand, several data points point to a slower growth environment. For example, the Deloitte forecast for the 2025 holiday retail period expects growth of only 2.9% – 3.4%, compared to 4.2% last year. Meanwhile, Bain & Company projects overall retail sales for November/December will rise about 4% year-over-year—healthy, but below the ten-year average.

So yes, the slower economy sets the stage for the possibility of deeper discounts, especially as retailers may feel pressured to stimulate demand. But there are counter-factors: consumer budgets remain challenged, inventory pressures may differ, and many retailers have adjusted pricing strategies already.

Bottom line: Consumers should likely expect meaningful discounts in key categories (especially discretionary goods) because retailers will need to drive volume. However, the depth of discounting may vary significantly by segment and by retailer—so not uniformly across every item.

When easy money dries up, it’s not just about higher interest rates; it’s about the sudden disappearance of buyers. Overleveraged companies — especially in tech, venture-backed startups, and consumer credit — will feel it first. These are firms built on cheap capital and fast growth, not steady cash flow.

As liquidity tightens, weak balance sheets get exposed quickly. Debt refinancing becomes impossible, new capital freezes, and valuations that once looked brilliant start to collapse under their own weight. It’s not a slow leak — it’s a vacuum effect.

Then comes the flight to cash and tangible assets. Investors, institutions, and even consumers shift away from paper promises and into whatever feels real: cash reserves, commodities, hard assets, and strong dividend payers. The market stops rewarding momentum and starts rewarding discipline.

In short, the liquidity crunch doesn’t just change prices — it changes priorities. Overnight, the narrative flips from “growth at any cost” to “show me the cash.” And that’s when you find out who was swimming naked when the tide went out.


How to Prepare for a Liquidity Crunch

The key is to prepare before the crunch hits — because once it starts, everyone’s fighting for the same lifeboat.

  1. Fortify Cash Positions:
    Don’t wait for the selloff to start hoarding liquidity. Maintain enough cash or near-cash equivalents to navigate a 6–12 month credit freeze without having to sell assets at a loss.

  2. Focus on Balance Sheet Quality:
    Whether you’re running a company or investing in one, debt structure matters. Look for firms with low leverage, strong free cash flow, and manageable maturities. Avoid those with high rollover risk — when the refinancing window closes, it closes fast.

  3. Prioritize Real Assets and Yield:
    When liquidity tightens, tangible value outperforms narrative value. Assets that generate consistent income — property, infrastructure, resource-backed holdings — gain credibility when cash is scarce.

  4. Trim the Hype Exposure:
    Start paring back speculative positions. That doesn’t mean a total exit from growth, but it does mean avoiding the “story stocks” that depend on perpetual optimism and cheap capital to survive.

  5. Stay Flexible and Opportunistic:
    Liquidity crunches create chaos — but also opportunity. If you’ve prepared, you can buy strong assets from forced sellers at steep discounts. That’s when disciplined investors quietly build generational wealth.

Q: What should investors be watching right now?
A: Watch the supply chains. The companies that feed into agriculture, energy, and infrastructure are about to see steady tailwinds. Don’t chase the headlines — look at the backbone plays: rail, logistics, and industrial inputs. That’s where the real value compounds.

Q: Does this deal change where capital should flow?
A: Absolutely. This deal resets the flow of capital toward hard assets and domestic production. That means more investment into U.S.-based manufacturing, refining, and tech infrastructure — not the “global maybe” crowd that depends on cheap Chinese sourcing.

Q: How does this affect energy?
A: Energy becomes a double win. The U.S. just signaled to the world that we’re securing critical inputs and stabilizing trade lines. That’s bullish for energy exports, pipeline infrastructure, and the broader oil and gas ecosystem.

Q: What about agriculture?
A: Agriculture’s already responding. When China starts buying again, prices firm up. But the bigger story is confidence — the kind that encourages farmers to expand, modernize, and reinvest. That’s long-term growth, not just a one-season spike.

Q: So what’s the play?
A: The play is to position before the market wakes up. Look for undervalued industrials, logistics, fertilizer, and commodity producers that benefit from increased exports and domestic demand. When the market finishes “analyzing” the deal, it’ll realize the leverage has already shifted — and that’s when the slingshot lets go.

Q: What sectors benefit first when the shutdown ends?
A: Look to defense, infrastructure, and energy. These sectors get early funding once operations restart and align closely with GOP-led fiscal recovery strategies.

Q: How does this shift investor sentiment overall?
A: Expect a pivot toward value and production sectors — companies with real output, strong balance sheets, and low dependency on government subsidies.

Q: What about consumer markets?
A: Short term, they’ll feel pain from lower confidence and delayed paychecks. Long term, if the GOP message of fiscal responsibility takes hold, consumer sentiment could rebound sharply.

Q: Could the Democrats’ handling of SNAP damage market trust?
A: Absolutely. It’s not just about food assistance — it’s about perceived competence. If the party looks reckless with essential programs, markets will expect policy gridlock and restrained spending going forward.

Q: What’s the best move right now?
A: Stay disciplined. Hold your defensive and industrial positions, watch Treasury yields, and prepare for a policy-driven market rally once the shutdown ends and political capital shifts rightward.


Bottom Line:
Markets remember who caused uncertainty. If Democrats are seen as the obstacle, their credibility on economic stewardship erodes. That’s where Republican investors gain ground — politically and financially.

Q: Should I ever short a stock myself?
A: I wouldn’t recommend it for most investors. Shorting requires perfect timing and deep pockets. You can be right about a company’s long-term decline but still lose everything if the stock spikes before it falls. It’s not investing — it’s gambling with leverage.

Q: Why do hedge funds short stocks if it’s so risky?
A: Because they can. They have the capital, the research, and the ability to hedge their positions. For them, shorting isn’t about belief — it’s about balance sheets and algorithms. For everyday investors, it’s a different world.

Q: Does short selling hurt the stock market?
A: Not in the long run. It adds liquidity and helps weed out inflated valuations. But it does create short-term noise — those sharp dips that can rattle confidence and push nervous investors to sell.

Q: What should Republican investors take from all this?
A: Stay focused on fundamentals. Invest in the companies building real value — American manufacturers, innovators, and job creators. Let others play the short-term games. We’re in it for the long-term health of the American economy — not to bet against it.

The main countries the US is currently negotiating tariffs with are:

  • China: Discussions are ongoing to finalize a comprehensive trade deal and prevent further escalation of tariffs.
  • India: Officials indicate they are very close to finalizing a bilateral trade agreement.
  • Canada: Negotiations are ongoing after the US recently announced an increase in tariffs. Though Toronto’s manipulated advertisement put the kybosh on immediate negotiations.
  • Brazil: Teams are set to meet immediately to discuss tariffs and sanctions.

It is amazing that the Trump administration has renegotiated hundreds of tariff deals over the last 9 months. No other administration worked so hard for the American People. Truly Amazing….

Q: What sectors should I buy ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting?
A: Stick with American muscle — industrials, defense, construction, and energy. These sectors align with the administration’s America-first strategy and tend to benefit when foreign tensions rise or domestic infrastructure spending accelerates.

Q: What’s the best hedge if the talks fall apart?
A: Keep some exposure to commodities — gold, silver, and oil. Those tend to pop when diplomacy fails. Short-term Treasury bills can also provide stability while you wait for clarity.

Q: Could this meeting actually cool markets?
A: Only if the tone turns icy. The mere image of the two leaders shaking hands is likely to calm short-term volatility. If Trump strikes a deal or even floats the idea of “mutual economic respect,” expect markets to rally on optimism.

Q: Is now the time to go all-in on China exposure?
A: Not yet. China is signaling inward focus, which means foreign investors will face more barriers, not fewer. Until U.S. policy softens or Chinese markets open further, keep your money closer to home — literally.

Q: What’s the smart long-term play here?
A: Follow the policy, not the noise. U.S. infrastructure, defense, and domestic manufacturing aren’t short-term trades — they’re decade-long trends. Aligning your portfolio with national strength is both patriotic and profitable.

It means the market is returning to economic reality. Investors are rewarding companies that produce, not just promise — and that’s a healthy sign for both markets and the country. The rotation toward energy, defense, and manufacturing shows confidence in self-reliance, fiscal discipline, and tangible value creation. In short, capital is flowing back to what built America’s strength in the first place — and that’s exactly where conservative investors should keep their eyes.

This is a slightly complex issue, as local and imported beef prices are influenced by many interconnected factors. However, imported beef can sometimes be cheaper than local beef due to a few key reasons:

1. Differences in Production Costs

The cost of raising and processing cattle varies significantly around the world. Imported beef may be cheaper if the exporting country has:

  • Lower Input Costs: Cheaper land, labor, feed (like grass or grain), or energy costs in the exporting country can result in a lower final product price.
  • Different Production Systems: Some countries rely more on grazing or grass-fed systems, which can sometimes be less expensive than the feedlot-intensive systems common in other major beef-producing nations, although this varies widely.
  • Scale and Efficiency: Highly efficient, large-scale operations in exporting countries can achieve lower costs per pound through volume.

2. The Type and Cut of Beef

Not all beef is the same, and what is imported is often different from the local product it competes with:

  • Manufacturing Beef (Ground Beef): A significant portion of beef imports are lean trimmings (the leaner parts of the animal) used primarily for ground beef (hamburger). These trimmings are often a less expensive, lower-value product compared to the premium steaks and roasts produced domestically.
  • Domestic Focus on High-Value Cuts: Local producers in many countries often focus on producing higher-quality, higher-priced cuts (like prime steaks) for their domestic market, leaving the lower-value cuts to be sourced from cheaper imports.

3. Market Supply and Demand Dynamics

The basic laws of supply and demand heavily influence the price of a commodity like beef:

  • Domestic Shortages: If a country's local cattle herds are small (due to drought, high feed costs, or a natural production cycle), the domestic supply will be low, driving local prices up. Imports then rush in to fill the gap, and while they may be slightly cheaper, they help prevent domestic prices from skyrocketing even higher.
  • Exchange Rates and Subsidies: Favorable currency exchange rates can make an imported product relatively cheaper. Additionally, some foreign governments may offer subsidies or supports to their agriculture sector, enabling their exports to be priced lower.

4. Trade Policy and Tariffs (Can Work Both Ways)

  • Low or No Tariffs: Trade agreements can eliminate or reduce import tariffs and quotas, allowing foreign beef to enter the market without significant added costs.
  • Targeted Imports: A country may strategically import certain types of beef (like the lean manufacturing trimmings) where its domestic production is not meeting demand, which helps keep the price of that specific product (like ground beef) low.

In short, imported beef often targets a lower-cost market segment (like ground beef) and benefits from global differences in production costs and domestic supply shortages.

Q: What sectors look best right now?
A: Tech and defense — two sides of the same American innovation coin. AI-driven productivity on one hand, and national security-driven spending on the other. Add in industrials and domestic manufacturing for a well-grounded mix.


Q: What’s the biggest sleeper risk this season?
A: Forward guidance language. If management starts tightening language around “visibility” or “demand confidence,” that’s not just corporate jargon — that’s a warning light. The market often ignores tone until it’s too late.


Q: What about the consumer?
A: Still spending, but more selectively. The “revenge travel” and “treat yourself” phases are behind us. Households are watching prices and credit card balances. Consumer discretionary names need to prove they’re offering value, not just hype.


Q: Is the market overvalued?
A: Depends on your faith in earnings growth. At 22 times forward earnings, the market’s betting on a soft landing and smooth sailing. If growth slows, that math gets ugly fast. If companies deliver, it’s justified — but there’s no safety net under those valuations.


Q: Where’s the opportunity for Republican-minded investors?
A: Look to American-made strength — energy independence, defense contracts, advanced manufacturing, and infrastructure. Companies that align with the “rebuild America” narrative have political and economic tailwinds at their back.

Numbers are easy — they’re history. The real insight comes from how management talks about the next quarter. That tone, the specific words they choose, and what they don’t say often tell us far more than any slide deck or chart.

When a CEO or CFO suddenly tightens their language — using phrases like “limited visibility,” “tempered expectations,” or “softening demand” — that’s not harmless corporate filler. It’s a quiet signal that headwinds are building. Conservative investors should read between those lines.

Equally telling is what executives avoid mentioning. When leadership skips over pricing power, capital expenditure plans, or consumer demand trends, that’s usually not an oversight — it’s intentional. It often means margins are under pressure, or future growth assumptions are in question.

On the other hand, when a company confidently leans into next quarter’s outlook — reaffirming guidance, expanding buyback programs, or investing in domestic capacity — that’s a green light. It shows conviction, not just optimism.

For Republican investors who prize transparency and fiscal discipline, forward guidance is the heartbeat of earnings season. It reveals which management teams are steady, conservative stewards of capital — and which are hoping markets won’t notice the cracks forming beneath the headline numbers.

While the financial media fixates on mega-cap tech and political drama, some of the most promising investments are quietly taking shape out of the spotlight. These “hidden gems” are where patience, timing, and a little independent thinking can still pay off.

Small-Cap Industrials and Reshoring Plays
America’s manufacturing revival isn’t slowing down. Smaller industrials supplying materials, automation tech, and domestic construction are benefiting from ongoing infrastructure funding and reshoring incentives. They’re lean, efficient, and positioned for multi-year growth—if you can stomach the volatility.

Healthcare Innovation and AI in Biotech
Artificial intelligence is reshaping how medicine is developed and delivered. Early-stage biotech firms using bio-simulation, genetic modeling, and AI-driven drug discovery may not be household names yet—but they’re advancing faster (and often cheaper) than traditional pharma pipelines.

Fintech and Healthtech Crossovers
Fintech platforms serving healthcare—payment systems, claim automation, and compliance technology—are quietly drawing institutional money. They sit at the intersection of cost control and digital innovation, two themes that aren’t going anywhere.

Consumer and Industrial Value Plays
Several consumer and mid-cap industrial names are still trading well below their intrinsic value despite healthy balance sheets. These are the companies that kept producing, innovating, and paying dividends while markets chased fads.

Names Worth Watching

  • Aeva Technologies (AEVA): Advanced sensors for autonomous vehicles and robotics. Speculative, but poised to benefit from the automation wave.
  • Mattel (MAT): A durable consumer brand still undervalued relative to its IP strength and licensing pipeline.
  • Sealed Air (SEAL): Packaging and logistics materials with strong e-commerce exposure and improving margins.
  • WesBanco (WSBC): A disciplined regional bank offering income and balance-sheet stability.
  • Similarweb (SMWB): Data analytics platform trading at a discount to peers, with recurring revenue growth.

What to Look For

  • Consistent free cash flow or improving margins
  • Insider or institutional buying activity
  • Low leverage, strong liquidity
  • A visible path to profitability
  • A clear competitive edge—technology, patents, or network effects

Red Flags

  • Reliance on a single major customer or contract
  • Weak balance sheet or excessive cash burn
  • Overhyped business models without real adoption
  • Trading multiples far above industry averages

Bottom Line: True “hidden gems” don’t advertise themselves—they’re built quietly, often in boring sectors, with real balance sheets and long-term staying power. Ignore the noise and focus on fundamentals. That’s how you find value before everyone else notices.

“Stay steady, stay smart, and keep your capital working”

Q: Is gold still a safe haven when the market’s up?
A: Yes. Gold isn’t just for crisis mode—it’s for balance. When volatility spikes or inflation lingers, gold steadies the ship.

Q: What about silver—too risky?
A: Silver moves faster both ways, but with industrial demand booming, it’s a smart secondary play. Think of it as gold’s more energetic cousin.

Q: How much should I allocate?
A: Conservative investors typically hold 5–10% in precious metals as a hedge. The key is consistency, not timing.

Bottom Line:
This isn’t about fear—it’s about freedom. Precious metals don’t promise excitement; they promise independence from the noise of policy and politics. When the system overreaches, metals remind us what real value feels like.

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