Q&A

What weird items are caught in the tariff crossfire


While big industries like auto and steel dominate the headlines, the U.S. slapped a 50% tariff on some incredibly specific and obscure Canadian goods.

  • The White House's list of targeted imports includes horsehair, tortoise shells, tulip bulbs, and even "articles for Christmas festivities".

  • Canada's retaliatory list hits everyday American goods, targeting items like cosmetics, seafood, and toilet paper with duties up to 50%.

What is the official justification for the "Lake America" name?

  • Beyond claiming Canada is ripping the U.S. off, one administration official defended the renaming by pointing out a geographical technicality: the absolute deepest part of Lake Ontario is located in U.S. territory.

  • Diplomatic formalities have also been tossed out the window, with President Trump recently insulting Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney by referring to him as "Governor Carney".

Past Questions

You don't need to fund the hardware race to see exponential returns. The smart capital is flowing into the software and infrastructure layers. We look at companies building the control software, the quantum-classical bridging algorithms, and the new encryption standards. You want to invest in the companies whose software will be required regardless of whether IBM, Google, or a startup builds the winning hardware.

Q: With 10-year timelines, how do these startups survive the "valley of death" before they have revenue?A: Hybrid business models and non-dilutive capital. A robotics or space-tech company shouldn't just wait a decade to sell a final product. We look for companies that secure Joint Development Agreements (JDAs), early licensing revenue, or leverage government grants and Department of Energy funding to bridge the gap between the lab and commercial scale.

Q: How do you evaluate a company if the technology is still in the lab?A: You focus on the pathway to scalability and the intellectual property moat. A technology might work flawlessly in a beaker, but if it requires exotic materials that are impossible to source at commercial scale, it is a bad investment. We look for tangible proof points, pilot customers, and patents that are defensible on a global scale.

Q: Isn't investing in things like gene editing or nuclear power heavily restricted by regulations?A: Yes, and that is actually the competitive moat. Regulatory compliance is incredibly difficult. Once a startup secures FDA approval for a new bio-therapeutic or NRC approval for a reactor design, it is nearly impossible for a competitor to quickly replicate their success. We view complex regulations as a filter that keeps out undisciplined capital.

A: One of the biggest unwritten rules is that the market doesn’t always reward being right—it often rewards being prepared. You can correctly identify a great company, a major trend, or even where the economy is headed and still lose money if your timing, position size, or risk management is wrong.

Experienced investors understand that protecting capital matters just as much as finding the next winner. They think about what happens if they’re wrong before they think about how much they could make if they’re right. That means avoiding oversized bets, keeping enough liquidity to take advantage of opportunities, and knowing when the original reason for owning an investment has changed.

The hidden lesson is simple: successful investing isn’t just about predicting what happens next. It’s about building a strategy that can survive when what happens next isn’t what you expected.

In the United States, navigating the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is the industry's most rigorous hurdle. The process revolves around two massive milestones: 

  1. Standard Design Approval (SDA): The NRC heavily scrutinizes the core reactor design, engineering calculations, and safety systems. NuScale made history by securing the first SDA for an SMR in 2020, and recently achieved a major milestone in May 2025 with the approval of an uprated 250-MW module. 

  2. Combined Operating License (COL): Once a design is approved, the buyer (a utility or tech company) must apply for a COL. This evaluates the specific construction site, environmental impact, and the operator's capabilities. Only after a COL is granted can physical construction begin. 

Q: What is a realistic timeline for commercial SMR deployment?

A: While design approvals and zero-power lab tests are happening now, full commercial deployment is still years away. Current industry roadmaps project that the earliest pioneer deployments will likely come online between 2026 and 2030. However, broader commercial scalability—where SMRs are reliably rolling off factory floors to power the grid or massive AI data centers—is projected to scale throughout the 2030s and into the 2040s. 

Q: Why is the "First-of-a-Kind" (FOAK) milestone so critical to investors?

A: The FOAK deployment is the bridge between theoretical spreadsheets and commercial reality. SMRs are designed to leverage "economies of multiples," meaning their costs only drop when they are mass-produced in factories. The FOAK milestone proves that the prototype can actually be built, successfully licensed, and integrated into a power grid. Until the first few commercial reactors are operating, investors cannot verify if SMRs will actually reach price parity with traditional energy sources like natural gas or renewables. 

Q: What financial milestones are currently driving the industry forward?

A: Because initial SMR projects carry massive capital risk, early financial milestones are largely driven by government backing. In March 2025, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) launched a $900 million solicitation to jumpstart the industry. Significant milestones were reached in late 2025 and mid-2026 when the DOE awarded $400 million each to the Tennessee Valley Authority (for a GE Vernova reactor project) and Holtec International. These funds are designed specifically to de-risk the initial licensing, site preparation, and supply chain creation that has historically hindered the domestic nuclear industry. 

No. It is more likely to radically restructure it. Software will probably become cheaper to create, while the value shifts toward data, distribution, customers, integration, trust and specialized applications.

Q: Should investors avoid traditional software companies?

Not necessarily. Some established companies have tremendous customer relationships, proprietary data and deeply embedded systems. Those can be powerful defenses. The key is determining whether the company's moat is real or simply expensive-to-replace software.

Q: What is the biggest risk for AI investors?

Paying enormous valuations for future productivity that hasn't yet translated into profits. Technology can be revolutionary while an individual investment is still a terrible price.

Q: What is the biggest opportunity?

Look beyond the companies selling AI. Find businesses that can use AI to dramatically increase revenue per employee, reduce costs, accelerate product development and expand margins.

Q: What's the rule I would remember?

AI doesn't automatically create shareholder value. Productivity does.

And the investors who learn to tell the difference may have a significant advantage over the next decade.

Absolutely not. Public markets should remain an important part of a diversified portfolio. The point is to recognize that public stocks aren't the only place where opportunities exist.

Q: What's the biggest advantage a small investor has?

Flexibility. You can invest smaller amounts, investigate niche opportunities and make decisions without a giant investment committee.

Q: Why consider MCA investing?

MCA can provide exposure to a specialized form of private credit tied to small-business receivables. But the investment is only as good as the underwriting, diversification and management behind it.

Q: Is Salvare Fund available to everyone?

No. Salvare Fund currently describes its investment opportunity as being for accredited investors.

Q: Is private investing automatically better than public investing?

No. Private investments can be illiquid, speculative and difficult to value. The advantage comes from finding opportunities where your knowledge gives you an edge—not from simply investing privately.

Q: What's the biggest mistake small investors make?

Chasing what is already popular. By the time an opportunity is on every financial television program, the easy money may already have been made.

The smartest investor in the room isn't always the one with the most money. Sometimes it's the one looking in a place nobody else bothered to look.

It can be an excellent tool.

Rollover equity can align the seller with the future performance of the platform and reduce the amount of cash required at closing.

It can also give sellers a second economic opportunity when the larger platform exits.

But the structure needs to be clear: valuation, dilution, governance, vesting, future acquisitions, distributions and exit rights should all be understood before the transaction closes.

Q: What's one metric sophisticated buyers will examine closely?

A: Customer concentration.

A company producing $10 million of EBITDA can be less attractive if 40% of its revenue comes from one customer.

Diversifying revenue can increase the quality—and potentially the valuation—of the EBITDA you're building.

Q: What is the best way to create multiple arbitrage?

A: Don't simply hope for it.

Create the characteristics that justify it.

Acquire smaller businesses at sensible valuations, integrate them into a stronger platform, improve margins, diversify customers and geography, build management depth and create predictable reporting.

Then multiple expansion becomes a consequence of reduced risk and increased scale rather than a bet.

Q: How early should we start preparing for the exit?

A: The day you make the first acquisition.

If your anticipated exit is three to five years away, you don't have three to five years to prepare.

You have three to five years to prove the investment thesis.

The buyer will want to see a history of growth, integration and improving performance—not a frantic cleanup during the final six months.

Q: What's the ultimate insider rule?

A: Build the company you want to sell before you start selling it.

The best roll-up isn't the company that bought the most businesses.

It is the company that transformed fragmented businesses into a scalable, profitable and strategically valuable platform.

That's what creates the exit.

And that's where the real investor return is created.

Usually, that's a question that deserves a very high level of scrutiny. Annuities can be excellent for a portion of retirement assets, particularly when the objective is guaranteed income. But liquidity, inflation protection, growth and legacy objectives still matter.

Q: What's more important—the interest rate or the insurance company's financial strength?

A: Both matter. A slightly higher rate isn't necessarily worth taking substantially more insurer or contract risk. Compare financial strength, contract guarantees, fees, surrender terms and actual benefits—not just the headline rate.

Q: Should I choose a fixed indexed annuity because the market can't go down?

A: Be careful with that statement. An FIA may protect the contract from direct index-related market losses under its terms, but that doesn't mean you can never lose money economically. Surrender charges, withdrawals, fees, inflation and contract-specific rules can affect your outcome. Indexed annuities can also limit upside through caps, participation rates and other crediting mechanics.

Q: How many annuities should I compare?

A: At least three is a reasonable starting point. For a substantial investment, comparing five or more proposals can be worthwhile. The important thing is to compare equivalent products and assumptions.

Q: Should I buy an annuity from the company offering the highest rate?

A: Not automatically. Look at the entire contract. A high rate accompanied by restrictive terms may be inferior to a slightly lower rate with better liquidity, stronger guarantees or lower costs.

Q: Is an annuity better than investing in the stock market?

A: That's the wrong comparison. They solve different problems. Stocks are primarily a growth tool. Annuities are primarily insurance contracts that can provide guarantees and income. A retirement portfolio can potentially use both.

Q: Should I exchange an old annuity for a new one?

A: Only after doing a detailed side-by-side analysis. You need to account for surrender charges, new surrender periods, lost benefits, new fees and the actual improvement in guarantees. FINRA specifically identifies these issues as important considerations when evaluating annuity exchanges.

Q: What's the smartest annuity practice of all?

A: Know exactly what you're buying before you sign.

If you can't explain the annuity's guarantee, fees, surrender period, income provisions, downside risk and beneficiary provisions to another investor in plain English, you're probably not ready to buy it.

And remember the golden rule of investing:

If the product is complicated, slow down.

Complexity isn't automatically bad—but it should never be used to hide the economics.

Absolutely not. If anything, this is when valuations come back down to earth. During a bull run, every pitch deck looks like a unicorn, and founders ask for the moon. Right now, you can find gritty, capital-efficient teams building real solutions without the inflated price tags.

Q: What makes an investment "good" when the public markets are unpredictable?

It comes down to utility and insulation. I look for businesses that aren't overly reliant on fragile global supply chains or international regulatory approvals. Give me a solid SaaS product, a well-structured application that solves a real workflow problem, or a tangible domestic business over a globally exposed moonshot any day of the week.

Q: How do I avoid catching a "falling knife" in the current tech market?

Look strictly at the revenue models. We are entering an era where AI and software tools actually have to justify their operational costs. If a company's entire business model relies on cheap capital and endless compute without a clear path to profitability, pass on it. A good deal right now is one where the unit economics make sense today, not three years from now.

For comprehensive public market data, Bloomberg Terminal and FactSet remain the industry standard. They provide the deepest global market coverage, real-time news, and advanced screening workflows. As funds scale—particularly those structuring an RIA model—these enterprise platforms offer the necessary depth for compliance, portfolio management, and quantitative analysis. For AI-driven document diligence, AlphaSense is highly effective at instantly parsing SEC filings, earnings transcripts, and broker research. 

Q: What are the best accessible platforms for screening stocks and sourcing ideas for market analysis briefs?

A: When drafting investment commentary or market analysis briefs, having quick access to clean visualizations and alternative perspectives is key. Koyfin offers institutional-grade charting, macro data, and transcript search at a fraction of the cost of legacy terminals. Meanwhile, Seeking Alpha aggregates crowdsourced, deep-dive fundamental analysis from independent investors, making it an excellent resource for gauging market sentiment and discovering counter-narratives before finalizing your own thesis. 

Private Markets & Alternative Data

Q: Where can investors find deep-dive analysis on early-stage and private companies?

A: Unlike public equities, private companies lack SEC filings or standardized analyst coverage. Investors looking at the broader market rely on platforms like PitchBook, Crunchbase, and CB Insights for funding histories, cap table data, and competitor mapping. However, at the seed or angel stage, the deepest analysis isn't found on a third-party platform—it is generated internally through structured pitch deck evaluations, data room reviews, and tapping into the collective due diligence of an angel network's membership.

Q: How do investors get qualitative insights beyond the balance sheet?

A: To understand the actual operational realities of a company, investors turn to expert networks like Tegus, GLG, or AlphaSense. These services provide searchable transcripts of one-on-one interviews with a company’s former executives, direct competitors, and major customers. This allows investors to validate their assumptions based on candid, on-the-ground realities rather than just relying on management's polished quarterly updates.

The standard has shifted from growth-at-all-costs to structural integrity. When reviewing pitch decks and funding requests, your immediate focus must be on governance and pressure-tested proformas. If a founder's valuation report relies heavily on speculative future multiples rather than a clear path to profitability, the risk profile is likely too high for this window.

Q: When evaluating a company's operational health, what is the strongest indicator of resilience?A: Data integration and the speed of visibility. You are looking for companies that have built a "nervous system" for their operations. If a management team has to wait for end-of-month reconciliation to understand their margin compression, they are flying blind. Real-time telemetry is the critical differentiator between companies that merely survive market shifts and those that capture market share during them.

Q: How does diversification fit into a high-conviction investment strategy right now?A: Diversification in this environment isn't about passive, broad-market allocation—it's about strategic, uncorrelated carve-outs. Because of the extreme dispersion in the market, a high-conviction strategy requires anchoring. Utilizing unhedged international equities or specific private market vehicles provides a counterbalance to domestic volatility without sacrificing the yield you need.

Yes, it can—but there is no guarantee.

The nature of startup investing is that returns can be extremely uneven. A handful of major winners can account for a significant portion of a portfolio's gains.

A 20% annualized return for ten years turns $100,000 into approximately $619,000.

That's why the upside is attractive. It's also why investors have to be comfortable with the possibility that some investments will produce little or nothing.

What does a 3X return actually mean?

A 3X multiple means you receive three times your original investment.

Invest $100,000 and eventually receive $300,000, and you've achieved a 3X MOIC.

But remember the clock matters. A 3X return over three years is considerably more attractive than a 3X return over ten years.

Can a diversified startup fund still lose money?

Absolutely.

Diversification helps reduce the damage caused by individual failures. It does not guarantee a positive return.

The underlying companies can fail, valuations can decline, investments can become illiquid and investors can lose some or all of their capital.

The venture market has developed a severe "barbell" effect, heavily concentrating capital into massive late-stage deals and leaving a hollowed-out middle. The real hidden gems are found in highly disciplined, "pre-consensus" bets. Instead of broad AI wrappers, smart money is moving into agentic AI—systems capable of running complex, multi-step tasks autonomously. Outside of the AI bubble, sectors like defense tech, biotech, and space technology are quietly producing incredible, specialized opportunities.

Q: What does a seed-stage "gem" look like by today's metrics?A: The days of raising millions on a napkin sketch and a charismatic smile are officially over. In 2026, a standard seed round runs $500K to $3M on a $5M to $20M post-money valuation. To be a true gem, a startup must arrive with a working product, at least $10K in monthly recurring revenue (MRR), or serious named-founder credentials. The current market rewards strong unit economics, defensible market positions, and actual cash flow visibility.

Q: Are there any geographic anomalies worth watching?A: Absolutely. If you look south, Latin America and Africa are quietly experiencing a 40% year-over-year boom in stablecoin activity, driven by a real-world need to bypass volatile local currencies and inefficient banking. Latin America is also ripe for liquidity, harboring nearly 40 unicorns and over 60 heavily funded tech companies that are currently prepping for exits when the IPO window fully widens.

The platform's glossy campaign page is marketing; the true due diligence goldmine is the Form C filing submitted to the SEC. It strips away the narrative and reveals the exact cap table, historical burn rate, debt obligations, and management compensation. When evaluating early-stage valuations, skipping the promotional video and going straight to the Form C's "Risk Factors" and financial disclosures often reveals the structural reality of the company.

Q: How can you improve your entry valuation on heavily marketed deals?

A: Look for Time-Based and Volume-Based Perks. Founders frequently structure their raises to reward early momentum. Investing in the first 48-72 hours or crossing specific capital thresholds can unlock bonus shares—effectively lowering your entry valuation compared to the rest of the crowd. Additionally, platform-specific memberships (like StartEngine's Venture Club) can grant flat bonus share percentages across participating campaigns, mathematically improving your equity position. 

Q: Are all investors in a platform syndicate treated equally?

A: Not always. Pay close attention to the Lead Investor. Platforms often utilize a lead to set terms, negotiate the valuation cap, and build crowd confidence. Check if the Lead negotiated a side letter with specific information rights, pro-rata rights, or a board observer seat. In many Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) structures, the crowd's voting rights roll up under the Lead's proxy. Understanding the Lead's carry and negotiated terms tells you how much institutional protection the deal actually carries.

Q: For those raising capital, how do you trigger the platform's visibility algorithms?

A: Platforms monetize investor acquisition and prioritize velocity over total volume. A campaign that secures early commitments rapidly will rank higher for homepage placement and platform-wide newsletter inclusion than one that slowly trickles in capital. Use the regulatory "Testing the Waters" phase to build a waitlist of soft commitments before filing the Form C. Once live, concentrate your existing network's capital into the first few days to trigger the platform's algorithms, unlocking free organic promotion to their wider retail base. 

It is getting closer to that choice.

The July report is a real warning sign. The economy lost 23,000 jobs overall, May and June were revised down by another 103,000, and the labor market is clearly weaker than we thought. At the same time, inflation is still above the Fed's 2% target.

That puts the Fed in a difficult position.

If it cuts rates, it could help businesses, housing and employment—but it risks allowing inflation to remain stubborn.

If it keeps rates high, it may continue squeezing businesses and hiring just as the labor market is beginning to crack.

And here's the interesting part for investors: markets are already moving toward the idea that the Fed's next move is more likely to be a cut than a hike. Reuters reported today that rate markets sharply reduced expectations for a September hike following the jobs report.

The investor question behind the question:

Is this the beginning of a recession—or the beginning of the Fed cutting rates into a slowing-but-still-functional economy?

Right now, I lean toward the second one.

The private sector actually added 30,000 jobs, while government employment fell 53,000. So this isn't a picture of the entire private economy suddenly collapsing. But the revisions and weak hiring trend tell us we shouldn't dismiss the deterioration either.

And this is where your AI angle becomes particularly interesting.

If companies can grow revenue and productivity without hiring as many people, we could see something unusual: a slowing jobs market alongside a still-profitable corporate economy.

That's potentially a very different environment for investors than a traditional recession.

A: The odds currently favor continued expansion. Consumer spending remains healthy, businesses are still investing, and corporate earnings have generally exceeded expectations. While growth may not be as explosive as earlier in the year, the underlying economy still appears to have enough momentum to produce another solid quarter.

Q: What should investors be watching most closely?

A: Three things: inflation, corporate earnings, and the Federal Reserve. If inflation continues to ease while companies keep delivering strong profits, markets could have additional room to advance. On the other hand, disappointing earnings or a resurgence in inflation could increase volatility.

Q: Which sectors look the strongest heading into the third quarter?

A: Artificial intelligence and the companies building its infrastructure remain leaders, but opportunities extend well beyond technology. Industrial manufacturing, defense, energy, cybersecurity, and companies benefiting from the reshoring of American manufacturing continue to show strong long-term potential. Financials may also benefit if credit conditions remain stable.

Q: What is the biggest risk for investors this quarter?

A: Complacency. Strong markets have a way of convincing investors that good times will continue indefinitely. History tells us that corrections are a normal part of every bull market. Having a disciplined investment plan and avoiding emotional decisions remains one of the best ways to protect long-term returns.

Q: Should investors be optimistic?

A: Cautiously optimistic. The U.S. economy has proven far more resilient than many expected, and the long-term fundamentals remain encouraging. That doesn't mean every quarter will be smooth, but it does suggest that investors who stay focused on quality businesses and maintain a long-term perspective are still positioned to benefit from America's economic strength.

No. High markets alone aren't a reason to sell quality investments. Decisions should be based on changes in a company's fundamentals or your own financial objectives—not simply because prices have risen.

How much cash should I keep available?

There isn't a universal percentage. The right amount depends on your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and whether you expect to need liquidity. The important point is having enough flexibility to take advantage of opportunities when they appear.

Is now a good time to invest in AI?

Artificial intelligence will likely reshape many industries, but not every AI company will become a winner. Focus on businesses with proven revenue models, strong balance sheets, and management teams that can execute—not just companies benefiting from today's excitement.

What's the biggest mistake investors make during a bull market?

They begin believing recent performance guarantees future results. Bull markets reward confidence, but they often punish overconfidence. Staying disciplined when everyone else becomes complacent is one of the most valuable investing skills you can develop.

Manufacturing, energy infrastructure, private credit, housing-related businesses, defense technologies, industrial automation, and companies supporting domestic supply chains all have compelling long-term fundamentals.

Q: What characteristic separates smart investments from popular investments?

Popular investments often have exciting stories. Smart investments usually have growing cash flow, strong management, competitive advantages, and reasonable valuations.

Q: What is one mistake investors should avoid right now?

Don't confuse innovation with investment returns. Revolutionary technology doesn't always produce the highest stock returns if investors have already priced in perfection. Buying great businesses at sensible prices has consistently outperformed chasing the latest headline.

Q: What should investors watch the rest of this year?

Keep an eye on corporate earnings quality, credit markets, infrastructure spending, domestic manufacturing trends, and energy demand. Those fundamentals often tell you more about where capital is headed than the daily headlines.

In choppy or sideways markets, top-line narrative growth isn't enough. Below is a framework for identifying actionable, asymmetrical investment opportunities right now.

Q: Given the divergence in Big Tech, what specific metrics separate true winners from value traps?

A: You have to look past simple revenue growth and examine Capital Efficiency Ratios—specifically Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) relative to CapEx Acceleration.

During the initial phase of a technology cycle, markets reward any company throwing billions at infrastructure. In mature phases—where we sit now—markets punish companies whose capital expenditure expands faster than free cash flow conversion.

The Nugget to Dig For: Look for software-native, business-to-business (B2B) workflow automation platforms. Companies that act as "middleware"—integrating hardware/AI compute capability directly into legacy industries like modern construction, manufacturing logistics, and commercial asset management—are capturing high-margin operational efficiency without taking on massive hardware supply chain risk.

Q: With interest rates remaining anchored near 3.5%–3.75%, where does private market or alternative capital find an edge?  

A: The sweet spot in this interest rate environment is Asset-Backed Private Credit and Niche Venture Secondaries.

Because traditional bank lending remains tight and public high-yield spreads are relatively narrow, mid-market operating companies seeking expansion capital are turning to specialized credit funds.

The Nugget to Dig For: Seek exposure to funds or syndicates targeting deal structures backed by physical assets or predictable recurring contract flows—such as industrial manufacturing modularization, real estate development tech, or proprietary logistics networks. Structure matters here: prioritized debt instruments or preferred equity tiers yielding 10–12% offer downside protection with equity-like returns, outperforming traditional equities on a risk-adjusted basis.

Q: How should investors play the ongoing global supply chain and manufacturing shifts?

A: Stop chasing broad consumer manufacturing and focus on Advanced Industrial Automation and Pre-Engineered Systems.

Whether driven by localized supply chain security, elevated labor costs, or infrastructure modernization, industrial construction is shifting away from traditional, labor-heavy on-site methodologies toward off-site, high-precision manufacturing systems (such as structural insulated panels and pre-fabricated modular infrastructure).

The Nugget to Dig For: Track micro-cap and mid-market supply chain enablers—the companies supplying non-commoditized materials, specialized machinery, or proprietary operational software to modern factory-built housing and panelized construction firms. These businesses benefit from secular structural tailwinds regardless of short-term interest rate swings.

Q: What is the golden rule for deploying capital into equities this week?

A: Insist on immediate unit economic clarity. Avoid companies relying on "terminal value assumptions" six years out. Demand companies showing:

  1. Expanding gross margins despite sticky input costs.

  2. Clear pricing power over their customer base.

  3. Clean balance sheets with limited near-term debt refinancing risk.

When the macro picture is noisy, returning to fundamental cash-flow mechanics is the surest way to build durable compound wealth.

Welcome to the "Great AI Return-on-Investment Audit." Investors used to reward companies just for uttering the phrase "generative AI" on earnings calls. Now, with capital expenditures reaching tens of billions per quarter, the market is demanding clear, near-term revenue generation—not just promises of future brilliance.

Q: Why do bond yields matter so much to my stock portfolio right now?

A: When 10-year Treasury yields sit near 4.7%, bonds become a legit competitor for investor capital. Why take equity risk when you can lock in high guaranteed yields? Higher yields also increase corporate borrowing costs, directly squeezing profit margins.

Q: Is the slow Q2 GDP print (1.5%) a cause for alarm?

A: Not necessarily a full alarm, but definitely an yellow light. Combined with sticky inflation, a slowing growth rate raises stagflation jitters. However, many analysts see this as a healthy economic cooldown rather than a cliff edge.

Have a question?

© 2026 The Letter. All rights reserved, Privacy Policy